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Author 1
晨好 王
东北师范大学
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Free Access | Research Article | 16 August 2025
Medal Prediction LASSO-Logistic and Bayesian Probit Models
Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis | Volume 2, Issue 3: 133-148, 2025 | DOI: 10.62762/JSSPA.2025.975234
Abstract
In Olympic competitions, the dynamic changes in the medal standings are influenced by a variety of factors. We predict the medal distribution for the 2028 Los Angeles Summer Olympics by analyzing historical data. In Task 1.1, we formulated predictive models for the overall medal count, as well as the individual counts for gold, silver, and bronze medals. These models integrated lagged variables and employed multivariate linear regression to ascertain the weightings of various indicators, thereby enabling the projection of the 2028 Olympic Games' medal table. The United States was projected to secure the top position with a total of 145 medals, including 50 gold medals. In Task 1.2, we deploy... More >

Graphical Abstract
Medal Prediction LASSO-Logistic and Bayesian Probit Models