Author
Contributions by role
Author 1
Mostafa Sadeghzadeh
University of Tabriz
Summary
Postdoctoral fellowship in irrigation and drainage at the university of Tabriz. Water Engineering Department, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran
Edited Journals
ICCK Contributions

Open Access | Research Article | 15 September 2025
Performance Evaluation of ETo Prediction Methods: Dispersion Analysis and Accuracy Criteria Across Time Intervals
ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence | Volume 2, Issue 4: 182-191, 2025 | DOI: 10.62762/TETAI.2025.125348
Abstract
Accurate forecasting of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is crucial for sustainable water resource management and precision agriculture. The present study evaluates three ETo prediction methods: Random Forest (RF), Cartesian Genetic Programming (CGP), and Convolutional Neural Network-Graphics Processing Unit (CNN-GPU) across time intervals of 1 to 364 days. Using dispersion analysis (scatter/violin plots) and accuracy metrics (RMSE, MAE, R^2, SI), it was seen that the RF and CNN-GPU models consistently outperform CGP, particularly at extended horizons. At 364 days, CNN-GPU achieved the highest accuracy (RMSE: 0.678 mm/day, R^2: 0.874), while RF maintained robust performance (RMSE: 0.683 mm... More >

Graphical Abstract
Performance Evaluation of ETo Prediction Methods: Dispersion Analysis and Accuracy Criteria Across Time Intervals