An Analysis of Time Series Models for Predicting Global Rice Price
Research Article  ·  Published: 23 March 2026
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ICCK Transactions on Machine Intelligence
Volume 2, Issue 3, 2026: 116-126
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An Analysis of Time Series Models for Predicting Global Rice Price

1 Central University of Haryana, Mahendergarh 123031, India
* Corresponding Author: Singara Singh Kasana, [email protected]
Volume 2, Issue 3
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Abstract

Rice plays a crucial role globally, as it is widely consumed across nations. Therefore, studying rice prices is vital, since fluctuations in the price can affect both its consumption and availability. This study analyzes time-series models using an international dataset. After preprocessing, the dataset comprises 71,856 samples and eight input features from six countries. The original dataset contained 300,816 rows and 23 columns. This study aims to predict rice inflation rates using time series models such as ARIMA, LSTM, and BiLSTM. The ARIMA model achieved the best combination of values (4,1,4)(0,0,0). Various statistical techniques that calculate inflation rates require expert knowledge and are time-consuming. However, with the advancement of intelligent computing and machine learning models, the rice inflation rate can now be predicted efficiently. These models play a vital role in managing unjustified surges in global rice prices.

Graphical Abstract

An Analysis of Time Series Models for Predicting Global Rice Price

Keywords

machine learning time series analysis global rice price prediction ARIMA LSTM BiLSTM

Data Availability Statement

Data will be made available on request.

Funding

This work was supported without any funding.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

AI Use Statement

The authors declare that no generative AI was used in the preparation of this manuscript.

Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate

Not applicable.

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Cite This Article

APA Style
Arya, S., & Kasana, S. S. (2026). An Analysis of Time Series Models for Predicting Global Rice Price. ICCK Transactions on Machine Intelligence, 2(3), 116-126. https://doi.org/10.62762/TMI.2025.272892
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TY  - JOUR
AU  - Arya, Suraj
AU  - Kasana, Singara Singh
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/03/23
TI  - An Analysis of Time Series Models for Predicting Global Rice Price
JO  - ICCK Transactions on Machine Intelligence
T2  - ICCK Transactions on Machine Intelligence
JF  - ICCK Transactions on Machine Intelligence
VL  - 2
IS  - 3
SP  - 116
EP  - 126
DO  - 10.62762/TMI.2025.272892
UR  - https://www.icck.org/article/abs/TMI.2025.272892
KW  - machine learning
KW  - time series analysis
KW  - global rice price prediction
KW  - ARIMA
KW  - LSTM
KW  - BiLSTM
AB  - Rice plays a crucial role globally, as it is widely consumed across nations. Therefore, studying rice prices is vital, since fluctuations in the price can affect both its consumption and availability. This study analyzes time-series models using an international dataset. After preprocessing, the dataset comprises 71,856 samples and eight input features from six countries. The original dataset contained 300,816 rows and 23 columns. This study aims to predict rice inflation rates using time series models such as ARIMA, LSTM, and BiLSTM. The ARIMA model achieved the best combination of values (4,1,4)(0,0,0). Various statistical techniques that calculate inflation rates require expert knowledge and are time-consuming. However, with the advancement of intelligent computing and machine learning models, the rice inflation rate can now be predicted efficiently. These models play a vital role in managing unjustified surges in global rice prices.
SN  - 3068-7403
PB  - Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge
LA  - English
ER  - 
BibTeX Format
Compatible with LaTeX, BibTeX, and other reference managers
@article{Arya2026An,
  author = {Suraj Arya and Singara Singh Kasana},
  title = {An Analysis of Time Series Models for Predicting Global Rice Price},
  journal = {ICCK Transactions on Machine Intelligence},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {2},
  number = {3},
  pages = {116-126},
  doi = {10.62762/TMI.2025.272892},
  url = {https://www.icck.org/article/abs/TMI.2025.272892},
  abstract = {Rice plays a crucial role globally, as it is widely consumed across nations. Therefore, studying rice prices is vital, since fluctuations in the price can affect both its consumption and availability. This study analyzes time-series models using an international dataset. After preprocessing, the dataset comprises 71,856 samples and eight input features from six countries. The original dataset contained 300,816 rows and 23 columns. This study aims to predict rice inflation rates using time series models such as ARIMA, LSTM, and BiLSTM. The ARIMA model achieved the best combination of values (4,1,4)(0,0,0). Various statistical techniques that calculate inflation rates require expert knowledge and are time-consuming. However, with the advancement of intelligent computing and machine learning models, the rice inflation rate can now be predicted efficiently. These models play a vital role in managing unjustified surges in global rice prices.},
  keywords = {machine learning, time series analysis, global rice price prediction, ARIMA, LSTM, BiLSTM},
  issn = {3068-7403},
  publisher = {Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge}
}

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