Data-Driven RUL Prediction of CMAPSS Jet Engines: A Swarm Intelligence-Optimized Transformer Approach
Research Article  ·  Published: 11 March 2026
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Aerospace Engineering Communications
Volume 1, Issue 2, 2026: 57-67
Research Article Open Access

Data-Driven RUL Prediction of CMAPSS Jet Engines: A Swarm Intelligence-Optimized Transformer Approach

1 School of Internet of Things Engineering, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
Corresponding Author: Tianle Yin, [email protected]
Volume 1, Issue 2

Article Information

Abstract

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is a core task in prognostics and health management. While Transformers excel at modeling long-range temporal dependencies, their performance is highly sensitive to hyperparameters, and improper splitting of sliding-window samples can introduce data leakage. We propose a Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA)-optimized Transformer for CMAPSS RUL prediction, adopting an engine-wise split for leakage-aware model selection and using validation RMSE as the fitness function to guide SSA-based hyperparameter optimization. On the FD001 test set, the model achieves RMSE $13.79$, MAE $10.00$, $R^2=0.88$, and a NASA score of $356.26$. The prediction curves and residual diagnostics show stable fitting, with only a few large-error cases.

Graphical Abstract

Data-Driven RUL Prediction of CMAPSS Jet Engines: A Swarm Intelligence-Optimized Transformer Approach

Keywords

remaining useful life prognostics and health management CMAPSS hyperparameter optimization

Data Availability Statement

Data will be made available on request.

Funding

This work was supported without any funding.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

AI Use Statement

The authors declare that no generative AI was used in the preparation of this manuscript.

Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate

Not applicable.

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Cite This Article

APA Style
Wu, H., & Yin, T. (2026). Data-Driven RUL Prediction of CMAPSS Jet Engines: A Swarm Intelligence-Optimized Transformer Approach. Aerospace Engineering Communications, 1(2), 57–67. https://doi.org/10.62762/AEC.2026.464396
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TY  - JOUR
AU  - Wu, Hao
AU  - Yin, Tianle
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/03/11
TI  - Data-Driven RUL Prediction of CMAPSS Jet Engines: A Swarm Intelligence-Optimized Transformer Approach
JO  - Aerospace Engineering Communications
T2  - Aerospace Engineering Communications
JF  - Aerospace Engineering Communications
VL  - 1
IS  - 2
SP  - 57
EP  - 67
DO  - 10.62762/AEC.2026.464396
UR  - https://www.icck.org/article/abs/AEC.2026.464396
KW  - remaining useful life
KW  - prognostics and health management
KW  - CMAPSS
KW  - hyperparameter optimization
AB  - Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is a core task in prognostics and health management. While Transformers excel at modeling long-range temporal dependencies, their performance is highly sensitive to hyperparameters, and improper splitting of sliding-window samples can introduce data leakage. We propose a Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA)-optimized Transformer for CMAPSS RUL prediction, adopting an engine-wise split for leakage-aware model selection and using validation RMSE as the fitness function to guide SSA-based hyperparameter optimization. On the FD001 test set, the model achieves RMSE $13.79$, MAE $10.00$, $R^2=0.88$, and a NASA score of $356.26$. The prediction curves and residual diagnostics show stable fitting, with only a few large-error cases.
SN  - pending
PB  - Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge
LA  - English
ER  - 
BibTeX Format
Compatible with LaTeX, BibTeX, and other reference managers
@article{Wu2026DataDriven,
  author = {Hao Wu and Tianle Yin},
  title = {Data-Driven RUL Prediction of CMAPSS Jet Engines: A Swarm Intelligence-Optimized Transformer Approach},
  journal = {Aerospace Engineering Communications},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {1},
  number = {2},
  pages = {57-67},
  doi = {10.62762/AEC.2026.464396},
  url = {https://www.icck.org/article/abs/AEC.2026.464396},
  abstract = {Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is a core task in prognostics and health management. While Transformers excel at modeling long-range temporal dependencies, their performance is highly sensitive to hyperparameters, and improper splitting of sliding-window samples can introduce data leakage. We propose a Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA)-optimized Transformer for CMAPSS RUL prediction, adopting an engine-wise split for leakage-aware model selection and using validation RMSE as the fitness function to guide SSA-based hyperparameter optimization. On the FD001 test set, the model achieves RMSE \$13.79\$, MAE \$10.00\$, \$R^2=0.88\$, and a NASA score of \$356.26\$. The prediction curves and residual diagnostics show stable fitting, with only a few large-error cases.},
  keywords = {remaining useful life, prognostics and health management, CMAPSS, hyperparameter optimization},
  issn = {pending},
  publisher = {Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge}
}

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CC BY Copyright © 2026 by the Author(s). Published by Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.
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