Volume 2, Issue 1, Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment
Volume 2, Issue 1, 2026
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Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment, Volume 2, Issue 1, 2026: 1-33

Open Access | Research Article | 24 January 2026
Natural Gas Transit from West Africa to Europe (Africa Atlantic Gas Pipeline) to Maximize Energy Security and Transit Revenues by 2050
1 International University of Rabat, Rabat 11103, Morocco
* Corresponding Author: Ayat-Allah Bouramdane, [email protected]
ARK: ark:/57805/jgee.2025.372522
Received: 02 December 2025, Accepted: 21 January 2026, Published: 24 January 2026  
Abstract
The Africa-Atlantic Gas Pipeline (AAGP), also known as the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline, is a major transcontinental infrastructure project poised to connect West African gas reserves with North African networks and European markets, potentially reshaping regional energy dynamics, boosting economic development, and enhancing energy security. Its strategic importance has grown amid Europe’s urgent need to diversify away from Russian gas imports and Africa’s dual challenge of resource-based development and sustainable local energy access. Despite increasing interest, there is a lack of integrated, quantitative evaluation of competing gas transit strategies considering technical, economic, environmental, and social criteria. This research fills that gap by applying a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making framework (AHP) to assess four transit strategies, highlighting Public-Private Partnerships and revenue-sharing as top options. The study also models Europe’s future gas supply scenarios, showing that while African gas corridors like the AAGP could significantly reduce European dependence on Russian gas, full substitution requires coordinated investments and complementary measures. The findings offer policymakers a transparent, replicable methodology to make evidence-based decisions that align energy security, regional cooperation, and sustainability goals, while recognizing limitations due to data subjectivity and the need for broader impact assessments.

Graphical Abstract
Natural Gas Transit from West Africa to Europe (Africa Atlantic Gas Pipeline) to Maximize Energy Security and Transit Revenues by 2050

Keywords
Africa atlantic gas pipeline
analytic hierarchy process
energy security
multi-criteria decision-making
natural gas transit
transit revenues

Data Availability Statement
Data will be made available on request.

Funding
This work was supported without any funding.

Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflicts of interest.

AI Use Statement
The author declares that no generative AI was used in the preparation of this manuscript.

Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate
Not applicable.

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Bouramdane, A. A. (2026). Natural Gas Transit from West Africa to Europe (Africa Atlantic Gas Pipeline) to Maximize Energy Security and Transit Revenues by 2050. Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment, 2(1), 1–33. https://doi.org/10.62762/JGEE.2025.372522
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TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bouramdane, Ayat-Allah
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/01/24
TI  - Natural Gas Transit from West Africa to Europe (Africa Atlantic Gas Pipeline) to Maximize Energy Security and Transit Revenues by 2050
JO  - Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment
T2  - Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment
JF  - Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment
VL  - 2
IS  - 1
SP  - 1
EP  - 33
DO  - 10.62762/JGEE.2025.372522
UR  - https://www.icck.org/article/abs/JGEE.2025.372522
KW  - Africa atlantic gas pipeline
KW  - analytic hierarchy process
KW  - energy security
KW  - multi-criteria decision-making
KW  - natural gas transit
KW  - transit revenues
AB  - The Africa-Atlantic Gas Pipeline (AAGP), also known as the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline, is a major transcontinental infrastructure project poised to connect West African gas reserves with North African networks and European markets, potentially reshaping regional energy dynamics, boosting economic development, and enhancing energy security. Its strategic importance has grown amid Europe’s urgent need to diversify away from Russian gas imports and Africa’s dual challenge of resource-based development and sustainable local energy access. Despite increasing interest, there is a lack of integrated, quantitative evaluation of competing gas transit strategies considering technical, economic, environmental, and social criteria. This research fills that gap by applying a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making framework (AHP) to assess four transit strategies, highlighting Public-Private Partnerships and revenue-sharing as top options. The study also models Europe’s future gas supply scenarios, showing that while African gas corridors like the AAGP could significantly reduce European dependence on Russian gas, full substitution requires coordinated investments and complementary measures. The findings offer policymakers a transparent, replicable methodology to make evidence-based decisions that align energy security, regional cooperation, and sustainability goals, while recognizing limitations due to data subjectivity and the need for broader impact assessments.
SN  - 3069-3268
PB  - Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge
LA  - English
ER  - 
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@article{Bouramdane2026Natural,
  author = {Ayat-Allah Bouramdane},
  title = {Natural Gas Transit from West Africa to Europe (Africa Atlantic Gas Pipeline) to Maximize Energy Security and Transit Revenues by 2050},
  journal = {Journal of Geo-Energy and Environment},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {2},
  number = {1},
  pages = {1-33},
  doi = {10.62762/JGEE.2025.372522},
  url = {https://www.icck.org/article/abs/JGEE.2025.372522},
  abstract = {The Africa-Atlantic Gas Pipeline (AAGP), also known as the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline, is a major transcontinental infrastructure project poised to connect West African gas reserves with North African networks and European markets, potentially reshaping regional energy dynamics, boosting economic development, and enhancing energy security. Its strategic importance has grown amid Europe’s urgent need to diversify away from Russian gas imports and Africa’s dual challenge of resource-based development and sustainable local energy access. Despite increasing interest, there is a lack of integrated, quantitative evaluation of competing gas transit strategies considering technical, economic, environmental, and social criteria. This research fills that gap by applying a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making framework (AHP) to assess four transit strategies, highlighting Public-Private Partnerships and revenue-sharing as top options. The study also models Europe’s future gas supply scenarios, showing that while African gas corridors like the AAGP could significantly reduce European dependence on Russian gas, full substitution requires coordinated investments and complementary measures. The findings offer policymakers a transparent, replicable methodology to make evidence-based decisions that align energy security, regional cooperation, and sustainability goals, while recognizing limitations due to data subjectivity and the need for broader impact assessments.},
  keywords = {Africa atlantic gas pipeline, analytic hierarchy process, energy security, multi-criteria decision-making, natural gas transit, transit revenues},
  issn = {3069-3268},
  publisher = {Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge}
}

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CC BY Copyright © 2026 by the Author(s). Published by Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.
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