A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data
Research Article  ·  Published: 31 May 2025
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Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis
Volume 2, Issue 2, 2025: 65-76
Research Article Open Access

A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data

1 School of Business, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225127, China
* Corresponding Author: Yuanhang Liu, [email protected]
Volume 2, Issue 2

Article Information

Abstract

In recent years, the educational attainment of the Chinese population has significantly improved, while fertility intention has shown a gradual decline. To explore whether there is a significant relationship between these two factors, this paper utilizes the publicly available data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) spanning ten years from 2012 to 2021. An ordered logistic model is employed for empirical analysis. The study reveals that, under the condition of other factors remaining constant, groups with different educational attainments exhibit varying fertility intentions. Furthermore, the research finds a negative correlation between the educational attainment and fertility intention among the Chinese population. Given the ongoing improvement in the educational attainment of the population, measures such as strengthening school education and implementing relevant fertility policies are effective ways to enhance fertility intention.

Keywords

educational attainment fertility intention CGSS logistic model

Data Availability Statement

Data will be made available on request.

Funding

This work was supported by the Impact of Female Intra-Role Conflict on Fertility Choices Among Women in Jiangsu Province under Grant 24FYC03.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate

Not applicable.

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Cite This Article

APA Style
Xue, L., Liu, Y., & Rui, X. (2025). A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data. Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis, 2(2), 65–76. https://doi.org/10.62762/JSSPA.2025.647741
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TY  - JOUR
AU  - Xue, Liming
AU  - Liu, Yuanhang
AU  - Rui, Xue
PY  - 2025
DA  - 2025/05/31
TI  - A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data
JO  - Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis
T2  - Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis
JF  - Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis
VL  - 2
IS  - 2
SP  - 65
EP  - 76
DO  - 10.62762/JSSPA.2025.647741
UR  - https://www.icck.org/article/abs/JSSPA.2025.647741
KW  - educational attainment
KW  - fertility intention
KW  - CGSS
KW  - logistic model
AB  - In recent years, the educational attainment of the Chinese population has significantly improved, while fertility intention has shown a gradual decline. To explore whether there is a significant relationship between these two factors, this paper utilizes the publicly available data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) spanning ten years from 2012 to 2021. An ordered logistic model is employed for empirical analysis. The study reveals that, under the condition of other factors remaining constant, groups with different educational attainments exhibit varying fertility intentions. Furthermore, the research finds a negative correlation between the educational attainment and fertility intention among the Chinese population. Given the ongoing improvement in the educational attainment of the population, measures such as strengthening school education and implementing relevant fertility policies are effective ways to enhance fertility intention.
SN  - 3068-5540
PB  - Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge
LA  - English
ER  - 
BibTeX Format
Compatible with LaTeX, BibTeX, and other reference managers
@article{Xue2025A,
  author = {Liming Xue and Yuanhang Liu and Xue Rui},
  title = {A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data},
  journal = {Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis},
  year = {2025},
  volume = {2},
  number = {2},
  pages = {65-76},
  doi = {10.62762/JSSPA.2025.647741},
  url = {https://www.icck.org/article/abs/JSSPA.2025.647741},
  abstract = {In recent years, the educational attainment of the Chinese population has significantly improved, while fertility intention has shown a gradual decline. To explore whether there is a significant relationship between these two factors, this paper utilizes the publicly available data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) spanning ten years from 2012 to 2021. An ordered logistic model is employed for empirical analysis. The study reveals that, under the condition of other factors remaining constant, groups with different educational attainments exhibit varying fertility intentions. Furthermore, the research finds a negative correlation between the educational attainment and fertility intention among the Chinese population. Given the ongoing improvement in the educational attainment of the population, measures such as strengthening school education and implementing relevant fertility policies are effective ways to enhance fertility intention.},
  keywords = {educational attainment, fertility intention, CGSS, logistic model},
  issn = {3068-5540},
  publisher = {Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge}
}

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