A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data
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Abstract
In recent years, the educational attainment of the Chinese population has significantly improved, while fertility intention has shown a gradual decline. To explore whether there is a significant relationship between these two factors, this paper utilizes the publicly available data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) spanning ten years from 2012 to 2021. An ordered logistic model is employed for empirical analysis. The study reveals that, under the condition of other factors remaining constant, groups with different educational attainments exhibit varying fertility intentions. Furthermore, the research finds a negative correlation between the educational attainment and fertility intention among the Chinese population. Given the ongoing improvement in the educational attainment of the population, measures such as strengthening school education and implementing relevant fertility policies are effective ways to enhance fertility intention.
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Cite This Article
TY - JOUR AU - Xue, Liming AU - Liu, Yuanhang AU - Rui, Xue PY - 2025 DA - 2025/05/31 TI - A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data JO - Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis T2 - Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis JF - Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis VL - 2 IS - 2 SP - 65 EP - 76 DO - 10.62762/JSSPA.2025.647741 UR - https://www.icck.org/article/abs/JSSPA.2025.647741 KW - educational attainment KW - fertility intention KW - CGSS KW - logistic model AB - In recent years, the educational attainment of the Chinese population has significantly improved, while fertility intention has shown a gradual decline. To explore whether there is a significant relationship between these two factors, this paper utilizes the publicly available data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) spanning ten years from 2012 to 2021. An ordered logistic model is employed for empirical analysis. The study reveals that, under the condition of other factors remaining constant, groups with different educational attainments exhibit varying fertility intentions. Furthermore, the research finds a negative correlation between the educational attainment and fertility intention among the Chinese population. Given the ongoing improvement in the educational attainment of the population, measures such as strengthening school education and implementing relevant fertility policies are effective ways to enhance fertility intention. SN - 3068-5540 PB - Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge LA - English ER -
@article{Xue2025A,
author = {Liming Xue and Yuanhang Liu and Xue Rui},
title = {A Study on the Relationship Between Overall Education Attainment and Fertility Intentions in China — An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS 2012–2021 Data},
journal = {Journal of Social Systems and Policy Analysis},
year = {2025},
volume = {2},
number = {2},
pages = {65-76},
doi = {10.62762/JSSPA.2025.647741},
url = {https://www.icck.org/article/abs/JSSPA.2025.647741},
abstract = {In recent years, the educational attainment of the Chinese population has significantly improved, while fertility intention has shown a gradual decline. To explore whether there is a significant relationship between these two factors, this paper utilizes the publicly available data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) spanning ten years from 2012 to 2021. An ordered logistic model is employed for empirical analysis. The study reveals that, under the condition of other factors remaining constant, groups with different educational attainments exhibit varying fertility intentions. Furthermore, the research finds a negative correlation between the educational attainment and fertility intention among the Chinese population. Given the ongoing improvement in the educational attainment of the population, measures such as strengthening school education and implementing relevant fertility policies are effective ways to enhance fertility intention.},
keywords = {educational attainment, fertility intention, CGSS, logistic model},
issn = {3068-5540},
publisher = {Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge}
}
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