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Volume 1, Issue 2, ICCK Journal of Applied Mathematics
Volume 1, Issue 2, 2025
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ICCK Journal of Applied Mathematics, Volume 1, Issue 2, 2025: 41-51

Open Access | Research Article | 27 July 2025
Bifurcation and Stability Analysis of Transmission Dynamics of Ebola Virus Using Seirvh Model
1 Department of Mathematics, University of Malakand, Dir Lower, Khyber Pukhtunkhwa, Pakistan
2 Department of Mechanical Engineering, Prince Mohammad Bin Fahd University, Al Khobar 31952, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
* Corresponding Author: Saeed Islam, [email protected]
Received: 06 April 2025, Accepted: 16 May 2025, Published: 27 July 2025  
Abstract
This study presents a mathematical framework to analyze the transmission dynamics of the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) using an extended SEIRVH model. The model incorporates vaccinated and hospitalized compartments, addressing critical factors such as vaccination efficacy, healthcare interventions, and natural disease progression. Differential equations describe the transitions between six population compartments. The study evaluates model stability and bifurcation through well-posedness, positivity, and boundedness analyzes, ensuring realistic and biologically valid solutions. The basic reproduction number, R0, derived from the next generation matrix, serves as a threshold for outbreak control. Local and global stability analyzes of disease-free and endemic equilibria reveal critical insights into epidemic thresholds and long-term dynamics. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis highlights key parameters that influence R0, emphasizing the importance of vaccination and hospitalization in mitigating EVD outbreaks. Numerical simulations validate theoretical findings, underscoring the model's utility in informing effective public health strategies, such as vaccination campaigns and hospitalization measures, for controlling EVD transmission. This research provides a robust analytical and computational tool for understanding and managing the spread of Ebola and similar infectious diseases.

Graphical Abstract
Bifurcation and Stability Analysis of Transmission Dynamics of Ebola Virus Using Seirvh Model

Keywords
EBOLA
stability analysis
sensitivity analysis
bifurcation analysis
RK-4 method

Data Availability Statement
Data will be made available on request.

Funding
This work was supported without any funding.

Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate
Not applicable.

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Cite This Article
APA Style
Ahmad, I., Ullah, W., Islam, S., Ali, N., Younas, H., & Khan, M. I. (2025). Bifurcation and Stability Analysis of Transmission Dynamics of Ebola Virus Using Seirvh Model. ICCK Journal of Applied Mathematics, 1(2), 41–51. https://doi.org/10.62762/JAM.2025.550087

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