Volume 3, Issue 1, ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence
Volume 3, Issue 1, 2026
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ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence, Volume 3, Issue 1, 2026: 33-44

Open Access | Research Article | 07 January 2026
A Decision Support System for Reverse Logistics Network Design: Integrating Multi-Factorial Forecasting of Solar Panel End-of-Life Assets
1 Department of Electrical & Electronics Engineering, COMSATS University Islamabad, Abbottabad Campus, Abbottabad 22044, Pakistan
2 School of Management Science and Engineering, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, China
3 College of Electrical & Mechanical Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Rawalpindi 43701, Pakistan
4 Institute of Numerical Sciences, Kohat University of Science and Technology, Kohat 26000, Pakistan
5 School of Computer Science & Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, China
* Corresponding Authors: Syed Amer Hussain, [email protected] ; Sayed Akif Hussain, [email protected]
ARK: ark:/57805/tetai.2025.782328
Received: 27 August 2025, Accepted: 23 November 2025, Published: 07 January 2026  
Abstract
The rapid global deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) technology presents a significant and often overlooked challenge: the effective management of end-of-life (EoL) solar panels. This issue is particularly acute in developing and emerging economies, where established reverse logistics infrastructure is often lacking. A critical limitation in current academic literature is the oversimplified forecasting of EoL waste streams, which fails to account for the dynamic interplay of socio-economic, policy, and environmental variables. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel decision support system (DSS) for the design of a sustainable reverse logistics network. Our system uniquely integrates a hybrid, multi-factorial forecasting model combining a SARIMAX time series approach with a Gradient Boosting Regressor to provide a robust prediction of waste volume. The output of this predictive engine dynamically informs a multi objective, mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, which optimizes the network design to simultaneously minimize economic costs and environmental impacts. Our findings demonstrate that this integrated framework provides a more realistic and adaptable tool for strategic planning than existing models. The research identifies a hybrid network structure as the most viable solution, offering superior performance in cost efficiency and material recovery. Our study provides an actionable blueprint for policymakers and industry leaders to proactively build a resilient and circular economy for a sustainable energy future.

Graphical Abstract
A Decision Support System for Reverse Logistics Network Design: Integrating Multi-Factorial Forecasting of Solar Panel End-of-Life Assets

Keywords
reverse logistics
decision support system
solar panel waste
multi-objective optimization
multifactorial forecasting
sustainable supply chain

Data Availability Statement
Data will be made available on request.

Funding
This work was supported without any funding.

Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate
Not applicable.

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Cite This Article
APA Style
Hussain, S. A., Hussain, S. Ak., Hussain, S. At., Raza, K., Imran, M., & Komal, A. (2026). A Decision Support System for Reverse Logistics Network Design: Integrating Multi-Factorial Forecasting of Solar Panel End-of-Life Assets. ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence, 3(1), 33–44. https://doi.org/10.62762/TETAI.2025.782328
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TY  - JOUR
AU  - Hussain, Syed Amer
AU  - Hussain, Sayed Akif
AU  - Hussain, Syed Atif
AU  - Raza, Kumail
AU  - Imran, Muhammad
AU  - Komal, Asma
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/01/07
TI  - A Decision Support System for Reverse Logistics Network Design: Integrating Multi-Factorial Forecasting of Solar Panel End-of-Life Assets
JO  - ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence
T2  - ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence
JF  - ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence
VL  - 3
IS  - 1
SP  - 33
EP  - 44
DO  - 10.62762/TETAI.2025.782328
UR  - https://www.icck.org/article/abs/TETAI.2025.782328
KW  - reverse logistics
KW  - decision support system
KW  - solar panel waste
KW  - multi-objective optimization
KW  - multifactorial forecasting
KW  - sustainable supply chain
AB  - The rapid global deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) technology presents a significant and often overlooked challenge: the effective management of end-of-life (EoL) solar panels. This issue is particularly acute in developing and emerging economies, where established reverse logistics infrastructure is often lacking. A critical limitation in current academic literature is the oversimplified forecasting of EoL waste streams, which fails to account for the dynamic interplay of socio-economic, policy, and environmental variables. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel decision support system (DSS) for the design of a sustainable reverse logistics network. Our system uniquely integrates a hybrid, multi-factorial forecasting model combining a SARIMAX time series approach with a Gradient Boosting Regressor to provide a robust prediction of waste volume. The output of this predictive engine dynamically informs a multi objective, mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, which optimizes the network design to simultaneously minimize economic costs and environmental impacts. Our findings demonstrate that this integrated framework provides a more realistic and adaptable tool for strategic planning than existing models. The research identifies a hybrid network structure as the most viable solution, offering superior performance in cost efficiency and material recovery. Our study provides an actionable blueprint for policymakers and industry leaders to proactively build a resilient and circular economy for a sustainable energy future.
SN  - 3068-6652
PB  - Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge
LA  - English
ER  - 
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@article{Hussain2026A,
  author = {Syed Amer Hussain and Sayed Akif Hussain and Syed Atif Hussain and Kumail Raza and Muhammad Imran and Asma Komal},
  title = {A Decision Support System for Reverse Logistics Network Design: Integrating Multi-Factorial Forecasting of Solar Panel End-of-Life Assets},
  journal = {ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {3},
  number = {1},
  pages = {33-44},
  doi = {10.62762/TETAI.2025.782328},
  url = {https://www.icck.org/article/abs/TETAI.2025.782328},
  abstract = {The rapid global deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) technology presents a significant and often overlooked challenge: the effective management of end-of-life (EoL) solar panels. This issue is particularly acute in developing and emerging economies, where established reverse logistics infrastructure is often lacking. A critical limitation in current academic literature is the oversimplified forecasting of EoL waste streams, which fails to account for the dynamic interplay of socio-economic, policy, and environmental variables. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel decision support system (DSS) for the design of a sustainable reverse logistics network. Our system uniquely integrates a hybrid, multi-factorial forecasting model combining a SARIMAX time series approach with a Gradient Boosting Regressor to provide a robust prediction of waste volume. The output of this predictive engine dynamically informs a multi objective, mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, which optimizes the network design to simultaneously minimize economic costs and environmental impacts. Our findings demonstrate that this integrated framework provides a more realistic and adaptable tool for strategic planning than existing models. The research identifies a hybrid network structure as the most viable solution, offering superior performance in cost efficiency and material recovery. Our study provides an actionable blueprint for policymakers and industry leaders to proactively build a resilient and circular economy for a sustainable energy future.},
  keywords = {reverse logistics, decision support system, solar panel waste, multi-objective optimization, multifactorial forecasting, sustainable supply chain},
  issn = {3068-6652},
  publisher = {Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge}
}

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CC BY Copyright © 2026 by the Author(s). Published by Institute of Central Computation and Knowledge. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.
ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence

ICCK Transactions on Emerging Topics in Artificial Intelligence

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